http://www.smeal.psu.edu Early Indications is a newsletter written by John M. Jordan since 1997. It focuses on emerging technologies and their social implications. daily 1 2007-03-13T09:15:25Z http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-june-2008 Rather than looking at the somewhat ambiguous "tipping points" that Malcolm Gladwell helped popularize No publisher hmw2 2008-06-27T12:18:30Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-may-2008 In many ways, Nick Carr and Clay Shirky are mirror images of each other. Carr attended and later worked at Harvard; Shirky graduated from Yale and teaches at NYU. Carr worked at Mercer Management Consulting, Shirky at a web startup. Both publish heavily visited blogs. Carr sits on the Encyclopedia Britannica editorial board; Shirky contributes to Wikipedia. Each published in "old media" earlier this year, their books appearing mere weeks apart. They address many of the same issues, but often draw different conclusions. In doing so, they situate themselves in a timeless dialogue about the nature and cost of technological progress. No publisher hmw2 2008-06-04T19:41:02Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-april-2008 It used to be an economic commonplace that value was added in increasing amounts the farther one moved from raw material extraction. Farms, fishing villages, and mines have often created less affluent locales and involve dangerous work, while factories paid higher wages. No publisher trc5004 2008-05-12T19:37:39Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-march-2008 Any time a new technology is introduced, the market traditionally extends conventional modes of use and understanding from the new things nearest neighbor. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:52:31Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-february-2008 Anyone who has been to Paris in the last six months has seen a major change to the iconic city's landscape: a plan to deploy over 20,000 rental bicycles at 1400 stations is well underway. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:52:31Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-january-2008 At the start of a new year, we can assess a few areas of major uncertainty and activity. Somewhere in the next 12 to 18 months, I expect to see major news unfold in some combination of the following five domains. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:42:38Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-december-2007 How did we do? Last December I wrote that "we see a collision between systems based on old and new models of regulation, remuneration, protection, privacy, and so forth. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:42:38Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-november-2007 As promised last month, here are ten information-technology-related areas to watch over the next ten years. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:42:37Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-issue-2-october-2007 Earlier this month we marked ten years of this newsletter's publication by noting ten developments that quickly permeated the market after being nonexistent or invisible in 1997. This month, I'll list ten big failures that at one time or another looked like can't-miss propositions. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:42:37Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-issue-1-october-2007 This month, we'll look at ten developments that, while feeling routine today, still lay in the future only ten years ago. We'll also review ten can't-miss technology stories that somehow went bad. Next month, look for a list of ten trends for the next ten years. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:42:37Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-september-2007 As managers of enterprise computing environments confront both perennial and emerging challenges, a new set of technologies is complicating the situation. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:42:37Z Page http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cdt/pubs/earlyindications/early-indications-august-2007 At base, technological change and globalization cannot be cleanly distinguished, and thus will be interlinked for the foreseeable future. The shipping container is arguably one of the five great breakthroughs of the twentieth century. No publisher hmw2 2008-05-06T18:42:37Z Page